The Robo-Advice Market Will Reach How Much In AUM?

Robo advice momentum continues.
Robo advice momentum continues.

No surprise; more 401(k) robo advice is on the way. A new report from global analytics firm Cerulli Associates titled “Retail Direct Firms and Digital Advice Providers 2015: Addressing Millennials, the Mass Market, and Robo Advice,” projects that the digital advice (read robo) market will grow to $489 billion assets under management by 2020.

“The compelling value proposition of digital advice providers (or robo-advisors), who offer low-minimum, low-cost portfolios, coupled with consumers’ expanding interest in passive investing will fuel this growth,” Tom O’Shea, associate director at Cerulli, said in a statement. “In addition, we anticipate that most, if not all, retail direct firms will have a digital advice offering within the next three years, and traditional advisors will also launch digital offerings for lower-balance investor accounts.”

The firm notes that large retail direct firms are now offering digital advisory services that have more assets than any of the start-ups that pioneered this product category. The entrance of large retail direct firms will be one of the major drivers of growth for digital advice. In the short time that retail direct firms have been offering digital advisory services, they have captured considerable market share.

“The idea that digital advisors provide portfolios without human interaction is inaccurate,” O’Shea added. “Many of the top digital advisors considered to be ‘robos’ augment their delivery of advice with access to humans through a toll-free phone number and chat. With retail direct firms adding digital advice solutions, and digital advisors using service representatives to support online advice, the two channels are converging. Both types of providers are moving toward a model that combines online advice with human support.”

He said that in order to be successful, digital advisors will need to develop a strategy that incorporates the human element into their service model. While some consumers may feel comfortable receiving all of their advice digitally, never interacting with a person, he argues it’s “a small segment of the overall population. Most consumers want to know that they can reach out to a person to solve a problem with their finances should the need arise.”

John Sullivan
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With more than 20 years serving financial markets, John Sullivan is the former editor-in-chief of Investment Advisor magazine and retirement editor of ThinkAdvisor.com. Sullivan is also the former editor of Boomer Market Advisor and Bank Advisor magazines, and has a background in the insurance and investment industries in addition to his journalism roots.

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